"Those Guys: NFL Combine & Free Agency Special"

NFL Combine Insights and Free Agency Frenzy
Alex Hardy and Nick Ferguson discuss key takeaways from the NFL Combine in Indianapolis and the latest in NFL free agency, focusing on Mike Evans' contract extension with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the potential for Baker Mayfield to remain with the team. They delve into free agency strategies and the importance of location and taxes in player decisions, with a detailed look at other free agents and quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins and Justin Fields. The duo also highlights standout performances from the NFL Combine, especially among wide receivers, and debates the implications of player choices to participate in combine events. They touch on how these performances could affect draft strategies and team decisions, concluding with insights on Drake May's and Jaden Daniels' decisions not to participate in throwing drills at the combine.
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00:00 Introduction and NFL Updates
00:31 Discussing Mike Evans' Contract Extension
01:10 The Impact of Free Agency on Players
02:32 The Future of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
03:57 The Market for Veteran Quarterbacks
04:40 The Debate Over Kirk Cousins
05:38 The Prospects for Young Quarterbacks
08:26 The Potential of Justin Fields
12:07 The Standout Performances at the NFL Combine
13:56 The Impact of the Combine on the Draft
18:54 The Future of Drake May and Jaden Daniels
21:37 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
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Alex Hardy: Hey, we are back.
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It's those guys.
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I'm Alex Hardy, and with me, Nick
Ferguson, the latest from the NFL.
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Following out the combine in Indianapolis,
plus some exciting free agency news
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right before the league here starts.
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Nick Ferguson, what's going on, my man?
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Nick Ferguson: Nothing much, man.
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Another glorious day.
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Alex Hardy: Another glorious day,
especially if you are a Tampa Bucca.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers fan.
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Mike Evans is staying on a two
year, 52 million contract extension.
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One that I think is in line with what the
market was kind of willing to bear out.
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He's going to be entering his age 31
season, but a guy coming off an NFL
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record, 10 straight, 1, 000 yard seasons,
led the NFL, uh, 13 touchdowns last year.
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But moving forward, maybe he
could have expected a larger deal.
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out on the market, but at the same
time, the Buccaneers look like
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they're going to be running it back.
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And maybe that points to Baker
Mayfield staying in Tampa as well.
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Nick Ferguson: Well, you know, during
the free agent period, that's always
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kind of the idea that a guy hits the
market and he's looking for a larger bag.
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But in this case, with Mike Evans, you
just said it 10 years in the same place
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and the Buccaneers would have seen that
drafted, you know, Mike Evans, I think
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seventh overall coming out of Texas A& M.
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And you think about the familiarity
with the particular city, town,
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and the coaches that he's got to
know from an offensive standpoint.
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And finally, after Brady, the
question was like, okay, what was
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going to happen with the Buccaneers
or the quarterback position?
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Now, Baker came out last year,
had a sensational season, and Mike
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Evans, once again, had a phenomenal
career and season last year.
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So, yeah, you could go
get a bag somewhere else.
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But once again, You're 30 years old.
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Teams are now going to wonder how
many more years you have left.
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So you might as well stay
where you are, stay put.
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And then here's the biggest thing that
I think a lot of free agents kind of
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get kind of caught up in the wash.
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Mike's been playing in Tampa
for a long period of time.
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It's the state of Florida.
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The taxes are not that high, right?
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So you may get another wide receiver who's
making the same amount that Mike is making
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in Miami, but he's playing in New York.
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But guess who is putting
more money in their pocket?
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It is Mike Evans, so it is great.
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But here's what it means for
the fans of Tampa Bay, uh, Alex.
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It means as though now the team can shift
their attention to, uh, Winfield Jr.
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And also bring it back to Baker Mayfield.
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Because there's no way Mike Evans
agrees to this without having
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some reassurance that Baker
Mayfield would be his quarterback.
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Alex Hardy: That's right.
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And it seemingly, you know, the priority,
they were coming in the Buccaneers
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with about 44 million in cap space.
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I don't know if it's a priority
or just order of operations.
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They took care of their
longest tenured veteran.
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Winfield is arguably one of the
best players at the safety position,
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which I'm thrilled to break down
with you as this offseason continues.
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Plus, the quarterback situation.
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But getting Evans first Is a sign that
they're valuing their guys in house,
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and most importantly, not letting
them test the free agent market.
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So we'll see how that bears for Baker
Mayfield, and for the Buccaneers as a
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whole, because, you know, Dave Canales,
who was kind of the key to that play
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calling, is now in their division
rivals with Carolina, so they bring
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in a first time NFL OC in Liam Cohen.
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Continuity is key, so you're right,
I'd be shocked if they look in
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another direction than Baker Mayfield.
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And if that's the case, if he's going to
agree to a deal even before hitting free
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agency, but maybe he hits free agency,
it just takes one team to try to outbid
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Tampa in order to procure his services.
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We'll get to the actual participants
in the NFL combine in Indianapolis, but
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reading the tea leaves and reporting, um,
from Diana Rossini of the athletic and
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Adam Schefter of ESPN and Ian Rappaport
of the NFL network, there's growing
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sentiment that Baker was one of those
guys in free agency that is drawing
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interest, but not coveted as quite as
much as the Kirk Cousins, the 35 year
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old coming off an Achilles surgery is
garnering the most interest out of any
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veteran quarterback for teams that have
to weigh the decision on the veteran
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quarterback route versus taking one of
those top signal callers in April's draft.
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Nick Ferguson: Well, the reason
individuals are looking that way around
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the league and I and Kirk Cousins,
because you mentioned the experience.
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I mean, we've seen Kirk Cousins
put up a lot of yards and.
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Those coaching on the opposite side of the
ball, that's what they want to do because
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it's become somewhat of an arms race.
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Here's my only knock on Kirk Cousins,
Alex, is that while he may be a great
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fantasy quarterback and might help
you win your fantasy league, he's not
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helping you in a really real world where
games really truly count and coaches get
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fired and hired based on that outcome.
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So I see why there's a lure and attraction
to Kirk Cousins, but other than that.
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I really don't because once again,
you got a guy who wasn't very
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mobile before he got injured.
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Now he's coming off an injury.
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When will he be back?
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When will he be at his
highest of the game?
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And then you still need to have
someone in waiting just in case
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there's any kind of setbacks.
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The one thing that the younger
quarterbacks provide for you, one
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is you, and they may have a little
inexperience, but then it's the
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price tag that comes along with it.
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See, that's where I'm thinking
from an economic standpoint.
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Listen, I'll get that young guy.
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We may separate through one or two years,
but if we put talent around him, that
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guy would be a quality performer for me.
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But what has Kirk done in his
time in the NFL other than
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putting up great fantasy numbers?
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Alex Hardy: Kirk is unique in the
perspective of, you talk about
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the compensation for him, right?
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The fully guaranteed contracts.
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He's, throughout his NFL
career, amassed 230 million.
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And so you could make the argument
that, hey, if the Vikings want to run
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it back, like the way that it appears
the Buccaneers are starting to do,
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maybe he'll take a hometown discount.
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His kids are, you know, his
kids are comfortable there.
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They've been there a long time.
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But at the same time, if.
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They're looking to go
in another direction.
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I think why he was a great fit with
Minnesota and he would be the most coveted
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free agent quarterback is because of the
familiarity and a Kyle Shanahan system,
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something you can talk about at great
detail that there are what half a dozen
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coaches that come from the Shanahan
tree that are running a similar style of
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offense that you could just plug a Kirk
cousins into and get them over the top.
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And.
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You know, why not a team like Atlanta
take a swing at Kirk Cousins if they
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feel they have the pieces around
them, even though they are sitting
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there with the eighth overall pick.
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You can talk yourself into Kirk
with a number of teams, it seems
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Nick Ferguson: like, Nick.
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Well, you, you can talk yourself into
virtually almost anything, Alex, but you
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got to say, well, where the rubber meets
the road, what seemed to be more rational?
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Like when you think about Kyle
Shanahan being in San Francisco
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and also being the offensive
coordinator for the Atlanta Falcons.
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Matt Ryan was that guy.
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Kind of like the Kirk Cousins guy.
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How far can those guys actually get you?
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Like, you play against uh, the
Kansas City Chiefs uh, what, twice?
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Three times?
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One with, you know, once with Brock
Purdy, another with Jimmy Garoppolo.
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And you've lost to them every single time.
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So the idea, you gotta try
something out different.
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Kyle tried to.
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You know, selecting Trey Lance,
but we never really got a chance
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to see Trey because of his injury.
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The one thing that is a glaring thing
for me, look around the NFL and look
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to see how many mobile quarterbacks
that you have within the NFC and the A
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FC and ask yourself, can you be avoid
a talent in that particular area?
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And I say no.
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Mm-Hmm.
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granted a guy like her cousins
give you some leeway and keeps
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you in some of the games.
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But it comes down to, can
they win you the big one?
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And right now that's not happening.
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So I don't see this love affair
with Kirk Cousins going too
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Alex Hardy: well.
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Well, it's coming at the expense
of potentially Justin Fields.
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Now the sentiment coming from Indianapolis
from those, you know, that same in depth
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reporting is that if the bears are keeping
that first overall pick and selecting
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their signal caller, we can say Caleb
Williams or Jayden Daniels or Drake
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May, um, odds are it's Caleb Williams.
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That means that Justin Fields, his
potential destination, the spots
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are kind of drying up, right?
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Because if they want a veteran signal
caller that is ready to go, that has been
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a proven winner, it seems that Justin
Fields isn't necessarily being prioritized
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in the way that we could have imagined.
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And I'm not sure that just because
he started in Chicago, doesn't
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mean that he gets the kind of
trade package that You know, it
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was really enticing for the Bears.
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So maybe there's a route where
again, the Bears want to do their due
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diligence on this quarterback class
and just like a year ago, they were
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ready to trade that first overall
pick before free agency started.
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They want to move quickly.
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They may have to sell 75 cents on
the dollar for Justin Fields who you
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believe is still a dynamic player.
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Nick Ferguson: Yeah, I still believe
that just kind of look at what
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he's been able to do and I know Uh,
the numbers don't really show it
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depending on where you look at it.
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But, if you were really able to put his
numbers right next to Lamar Jackson,
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a guy with two time MVP, you would see
some of those numbers are quite similar.
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Just, just kind of, right
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Alex Hardy: above going at it.
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Nick Ferguson: I don't know, Nick.
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Touchdown to interception ratio
over the past, let's say, 20 games.
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Lamar has 28 touchdowns.
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Six or eight interceptions.
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You look at Justin Fields.
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He may have around 23 touchdowns and
may have 13 or 14 interceptions, but
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when you look at their ability to run
what they're able to do with the ball
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in their hands, I mean both quarterbacks
are dynamic and to kind of defend
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Justin Fields just a little more.
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It's almost like he suffers from
what every single quarterback that's
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been drafted in the first round
by the Bears had gone through.
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They have patience.
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Or supporting cast.
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So how do you know what a guy can do
if you don't really give him support?
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So with that first round pick
from Ryan polls, I moved back.
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You already have the number
one spot pick at number nine.
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You move back.
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You can get maybe another first,
a second in 2024, 2025, you keep
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fields, you build your defense.
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And you add another office
of weapon opposite DJ Moore.
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Now, would you like Marvin Hafferson jr?
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Of course.
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But if you can't get him,
you can get Roma Doomsday.
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So there are options out there.
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There's Xavier Worthy.
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So there's options out there.
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Yeah, but I know this whole thing
around this year, uh, centered around
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quarterback and what Ryan Poole has
to think about is, look, if we get
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rid of Fields now, we don't have to
worry about his fifth year option.
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We are able to reset our quarterback
market by drafting a young guy.
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And, We get a 50 option.
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The problem with that philosophy is
you haven't really built around it.
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That's the problem.
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Alex Hardy: Well, you think they can build
around them with that ninth pick, just
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like you'd make the argument for fields.
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Um, and if they get a day to pick, if
that's a second, potentially a third
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rounder as the discussion is going
on, then you just kind of have to see,
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um, and maybe extrapolate how Caleb
Williams was performing with an awful
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USC team a year ago, um, You point to
the numbers dipping and it comes back
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to the same argument, supporting cast.
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Now the quarterback class, let's, let's
transition for the, from the veterans
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to, you know, the, the news that was
going on and, uh, and indeed compared
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to the actual participants there, you
started to get into the wide receivers
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and they seem to have absolutely stolen.
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All of the buzz from the combine.
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Xavier Worthy, I mentioned, a record
421 40 yard dash at 165 pounds.
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It's great because now we have so much
data, we do things in context, right?
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Is it more impressive
that he runs the fastest?
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40 yard dash ever or
that his teammate, uh, A.
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D.
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Mitchell ran a 4 3 4 weighing almost
40 more pounds than, than Worthy does.
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Listen, 5.
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Everything is within context, but it's
interesting to see that this time a
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year ago, We're looking at a lot of
smaller wide receivers and finding
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success in Zaflowers and Tankdell.
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Uh, while other guys, like Quentin Johnson
of the Chargers, get vaulted up the draft
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board because they're one of the only guys
that had a combination of size and speed.
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Whereas this year, it, it, it bears,
you know, absolute, you know, dozens,
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you know, four or five guys that would
have been wide receiver one a year ago.
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So the performers that we saw, and
you mentioned Marvin Harrison Jr.
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Uh, we're, we're talking about the
Texas wide receivers, Roma Dunze, you
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talked about potentially for the bears,
uh, Malik neighbors and Brian Thomas.
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Let's just, I mean, grab a couple of
names, Nick, that whether based on
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testing numbers that you saw, or if
you're beginning to break down the
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film guys that really, really improve
their stock as we're finding the
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elite athletes are now playing the.
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Skilled positions.
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They're seeing where the money
is going and the best athletes
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are playing wide receiver
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Nick Ferguson: now.
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Well, this may watching the combine
this past week and watching so many
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guys perform Well, whether they were
at 165 or 220 pounds What it does in
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my mind it it could change the way
that the draft actually Kind of falls
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through because everyone has their
mock drafts and they have certain
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teams selecting at certain points
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Alex Hardy: But we have everything figured
out in the first week of March, right?
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Right,
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Nick Ferguson: right.
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But based on the speed, not just
at the wide receiver position, we
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have, we saw a fast linebacker group.
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We saw edge rushers, offensive linemen.
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Uh, we saw so many different
Position groups show, I mean, speed
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that we have never seen before.
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So it changes as far as what teams may
think as they put their boards together.
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And you're right.
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Just because the guy runs a fast 40,
that doesn't necessarily mean that all
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of a sudden he's going to make a great
prospect because John Ross, a couple
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of years ago, who ran the four, two,
who Xavier Worthy broke his record, I
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mean, whatever happened with him, he
got injured with Cincinnati bingos and
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his career just kind of went kibbutz.
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So it goes back to
going to the right team.
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You don't necessarily, I always put it
this way, let me back up for a second.
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Yep.
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It's not when you go, it's where
you go and can that offense or that
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defense set you up to be successful.
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So it's going to be really
important for coaches to now
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go back to the drawing board.
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Uh, reevaluate their draft board,
move some guys around, guys who
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they had at the top, they're gonna
probably move down to the bottom
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based on some of these performances.
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But the idea is, don't, don't
reach because there's a lot
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of talent that's out there.
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Alex Hardy: So, we'll take Marvin Harrison
out of the equation because he, he showed
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up, he did interviews, he measured in,
but no, no, no combine performance.
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And, uh, He's expected to be the
wide receiver one in this draft.
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Can you give me two or three guys
that you're very interested in where
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their potential outcomes could be?
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Nick Ferguson: Well, for me, you
mentioned Neighbors who, uh, he didn't
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participate, uh, in the combine as well.
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That's a guy who definitely, you
know, for me comes up because, uh,
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outside of Marvin Harrison Jr.,
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Neighbors is probably wide receiver two.
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Alex Hardy: Now could that or, or one
B if you wanna make that argument.
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Yeah.
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Nick Ferguson: And, and, and could
that have changed with, uh, Rome
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Dunay and, and how he performed?
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Abso freaking, absolutely.
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But
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Alex Hardy: was this, so for perspective,
for a dunay, is he vaulting himself into,
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are we, are we talking about three top
receivers as opposed to kind of separation
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from Harrison to Neighbors to a Dunay?
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How does you know his performance at 6
3, 2 12 running a 4, 4, 5 and having,
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you know, a insane jump and three cone.
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Where does, where does that
kind of factor in for you?
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Nick Ferguson: Well, I mean,
obviously that puts him at,
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you know, you can say 1A, 1B.
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Uh, and listen, there are a lot of
guys who perform well at the YBC
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position and they were benefactors
of neighbors and Marvin Harrison, Jr.
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Not performing because these guys were
considered, I'm not going to say third
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tier, second tier, but no one was really
talking about them as they were talking
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about neighbors and Marvin Harrison, Jr.
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But now.
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The conversation has now changed.
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Now, Neighbors and Marvin Harrison Jr.,
they have to have exceptional pro dates.
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Like a doomsday, a doomsday
can say, you know what, I'm
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not going to run the 40 again.
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I'll, I will run routes for you,
but that's about it because he has
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already encapsulated his ability
and left his mark at the compound.
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So there's not too much pressure on him.
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It's like, hey, either
you take it or leave it.
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The pressure is now is
on Marvin Harrison Jr.
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and Neighbors To really show
and validate their skills on the
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field with absolutely workouts.
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So it's going to be, once again,
it's going to be interesting.
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And every single year you hear this
phrase about there's a deep pool of wide
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receiver is not, it's not a deep pool.
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This pool is really deep because there
was a lot of receivers who ran fast
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times and really put themselves on a map.
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Alex Hardy: We'll be looking back at this
class in particular, not just because
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of the talent, but we have a lot of.
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5th and 6th year players
due to the COVID season.
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This will bear out in the next draft
as well, where we just have a, what
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seems to be a larger pool of talent
based on, um, you know, the, the
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issues in 2020 and 21 with the seasons
kind of being turned upside down.
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So, I'm excited to see how this bears
out, um, we talked about the wide
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receivers a little bit today, I'm
going to save the offensive linemen
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for a future episode because they
deserve their time to shine as well.
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You talk about Outstanding performers
and premium positions, but to wrap up
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our NFL combine conversation, at least
immediately after things wrap up, uh,
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we're going to, we're going to do Nick
before we split and Nick Ferguson,
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you were right here on those guys.
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This, this podcast right here,
talking about the criticism for
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Drake may not participating in the
throwing drills, just showing up
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interviewing and getting measured.
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And meanwhile, your guy, Jaden
Daniels, comes to Indy, doesn't
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get measured, doesn't throw.
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And so Nick, before we split, do you
have that same energy for Jaden Daniels
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and even less participation in Indy
than you did for Drake May a week ago?
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00:19:23,078 --> 00:19:25,598
Nick Ferguson: Well, look, the
way that I look at it is that
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it's always great to, to compete.
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The one thing that changes
it, it all depends on how
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NFL stars actually view you.
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For a guy like Drake May, there still
are some concerns about his ability
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and even though in certain my draft,
they some have him, you know, the
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second quarterback going off the board.
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So this was an opportunity, him,
opportunity for him with Jake Daniels
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not throwing, or Caleb Williams not
throwing to really cement himself
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and dispel all those rumors that are
out there from a negative standpoint.
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But also when you look at.
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You know, Drake May and Jade Daniels.
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Let's compare those two quarterbacks.
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One threw for, uh, more than 1, 000 yards
and rushed for more than 1, 000 yards.
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And one went from ASU Pac 12 to SEC.
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It really balls out and SEC is considered
by, by most as the top conference in
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the NFL and just a tier below the NFL.
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So if Jade Daniels can do that
against superior competition, And
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you look at Drake May playing in the
ACC, which I'm quite familiar with.
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Sure.
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Based on the perceptions.
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So you got a little jacket.
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00:20:34,123 --> 00:20:34,513
Yes.
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You're going to look at, you know,
Jade Daniels and give him more value.
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And then also he won the
freaking Heisman, right?
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So, so with that guy, there's, there's
a little cachet that comes with it, but
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here's what I love about what Jade and
Daniel said, why he didn't participate.
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He wanted to go back to his pro day
and show some love to some of those
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other players who are prospects.
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For the NFL who are
not getting that shine.
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The light is not shining bright on them.
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So he's trying to flow some
power to his teammates.
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So I understand that.
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00:21:05,603 --> 00:21:10,053
But this was an opportunity for
Drake May to silence all the critics.
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Now he can be measured against a Bo Nix.
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00:21:13,263 --> 00:21:15,363
Or, or, or a Michael Penix.
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00:21:15,613 --> 00:21:19,343
Both of those guys who were in
the Heisman Trophy conversation.
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Drake May wasn't.
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00:21:21,463 --> 00:21:22,273
Drake May wasn't.
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00:21:22,463 --> 00:21:26,783
So you want to make sure that you put
your best foot forward against those guys.
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Is this truly going to hurt Drake May?
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00:21:29,703 --> 00:21:33,933
We'll have to wait and see, but for me,
I still would have wished that Drake
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May would have performed at the combine.
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Alex Hardy: He's Nick Ferguson,
former 10 year NFL safety.
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00:21:40,663 --> 00:21:44,063
I'm Alex Hardy, we are those
guys, we hope to be your guys,
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00:21:44,253 --> 00:21:47,463
and thank you for spending time
with us as we recap the Combine.
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As the weeks continue ahead
of the NFL Draft, we'll go in
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00:21:50,883 --> 00:21:53,833
depth on certain players that
Nick has been grinding tape on.
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You can always follow him at
NickFerguson underscore 25 if you want
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00:21:58,463 --> 00:22:02,433
any questions about your team, uh,
especially if you are a Broncos fan,
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00:22:02,443 --> 00:22:07,428
he's trying to figure out who that next
quarterback will be, uh, in, in Denver.
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Uh, you can also check out those guys.
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00:22:09,728 --> 00:22:15,678
We're doing a recap of the NFL, uh, uh,
the Patriots dynasty, the documentary
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00:22:15,678 --> 00:22:17,318
appearing on Apple TV every week.
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00:22:17,328 --> 00:22:21,318
You can catch us after the episode
airs recapping what we're seeing
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00:22:21,478 --> 00:22:25,938
as Tom Brady ascends and declines
with the New England Patriots.
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So until next time, Nick, I'm Alex Hardy.
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We're those guys.
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And what do you have to say
to the people, Nick Ferguson?
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Nick Ferguson: Put the money in the bag.
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00:22:36,933 --> 00:22:38,213
Alex Hardy: In the bag.
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00:22:38,523 --> 00:22:38,953
Alright, peace.